Mental Health Surge Model The Strategy Unit has produced a model to help local services plan their response to the impact of the pandemic on the nation’s mental health. Using this model, they estimate that there will be around 11% more new referrals to mental health services, each year for the next three years; and associated costs amount to an extra £1 billion a year. This is around 8% of annual NHS expenditure on mental health services. Includes a web-based interactive version of the model.
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